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Most industry experts agree that the cost of electricity in Ontario will rise over the coming years. Here we outline many factors which currently point to an upward trend in Ontario electricity prices:
Increasing Demand
Ontario currently has a generation capacity of approximately 25,000 megawatts of electricity. On an average day, Ontario demand peaks around 21,000 megawatts. However, on many days (mainly due to hot weather), the demand sometimes exceeds 26,000 megawatts, requiring the Independent Electricity System Operator (IESO) to import electricity from neighbouring jurisdictions - namely the USA.
As our population increases and relies more and more on technology, overall Ontario electricity demand is expected to continue rising. Additionally, the electricity supply does not typically run at 100% of capacity, as nuclear plants are often taken out of service for maintenance, and hydroelectric plants are affected by reduced water levels in the Great Lakes.
Nuclear Facts
- Ontario has 20 of Canada’s 22 nuclear reactors.
- 80% of all electricity generating plants in Ontario will need to be refurbished or replaced in the next 15 – 20 years.
- 441 neclear power reactors are operating in 30 countries.
| Electricity Facts |
| Electricity Sources |
Ontario's Electricity Mix |
| Water Power |
0.235 |
| Alternative Power Sources(Solar, Wind, Biomass, Waste) |
0.007 |
| Nuclear Energy |
0.385 |
| Natural Gas |
0.084 |
| Coal or Oil |
0.289 |
Coal Plants Closing
There are currently four coal plants operating in Ontario following the 2005 closure of the Lakeview plant in Toronto. The McGuinty government has committed to close the Lambton, Thunder Bay, and Atikokan plants by the end of 2007, and the Nanticoke plant by the end of 2009, or as soon as possible thereafter. Closing these coal plants will reduce Ontario's supply by 6,438 megawatts. This lost output will have to be replaced by electricity from other sources, including natural gas. Coal is currently one of the least expensive methods of producing electricity.
Many people ask when the best time to lock in at our fixed rates is. Consider the following:
- Fixed Rates vs. Fluctuating Rates
When comparing our 5-year fixed rates to your current electricity and gas rates remember that, unlike your curent rates, our 5-year rate is guaranteed not to change for the full term of your contract. So the price you sign up for today will be the same price you will pay until about February 2012.
During this same period, by not locking in, you could be subjected to up to 10 hydro rate increases and 20 natural gas price increases.
- Increasing Electricity Rates
Most experts believe that electricity rates will rise significantly in the coming years. Locking in to a fixed rate guarantees your low rate, regardless of how high electricity rates may rise in the future. Your local utility cannot provide you with a fixed rate.
- HOEP Rates Fluctuate Daily
If you are a currently a HOEP customer (most large businesses), the current (market) rate that you are paying varies from hour to hour and there are no guaranteed maximums.
- Regulated Rates are Adjusted Frequently
If you are currently an RPP customer (residential and small businesses), the current rates are locked-in for only a six month period, and are subject to adjustment based on the actual cost of electricity every six months.
Natural gas rates for gas supplied by Enbridge Gas and Union Gas are subject to change every three months.
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Government Rebates
Consumers who leave the Ontario RPP and sign up with EnergyOne Canada are eligible to receive the Government Rebates. These rebates are not payable to RPP Customers since they have already been factored into the calculation of the RPP rates.
Provincial Benefit – The electricity that is generated from OPG’s large hydro and “paid for” nuclear units is capped at about 4.5 cents/kWh. All Ontario electricity users are entitled to excess profits generated when the market rate exceeds 4.5 cents/kWh. This amount is reduced by excess payments for long term electricity supply contracts the government has signed with certain natural gas and green power generators.
Depending on the spot price of power, the monthly provincial benefit has ranged from a benefit of 2.0 cent/kWh to -0.40 cents/kWh. This benefit is accounted for in the RPP price. EnergyOne Canada customers will receive the benefit on their electricity bills.
OPG – 85% of the power produced by OPG’s coal and small hydro plants is capped at 4.6 cents/kWh. The excess profit is returned to all consumers on a quarterly basis. Consumers under the RPP “receive” this benefit by a lower RPP price, which is supposed to account for the rebate. Everyone else, including EnergyOne Canada’s customers, directly receives the rebate on their electricity bills.
Further information about the rebates is available at the www.IESO.ca website.
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